What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41051004104 in Portland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $496,421 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 16.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41051004104 in Portland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $496,421 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 16.6%.

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Parcel 41051004104 (Portland) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 41051004104, Portland Home Price Forecast

Portland, OR · ZIP 97203 · Census Tract 41051004104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$496K

Downside (P10)

$410K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$579K

+17% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$736K

+48% by 2030

Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$347K	$375K	$452K	$457K	$474K	$496K	$514K	$543K	$579K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$149,521	-$121,421	-$44,821	-$39,221	-$22,221		+$17,866	+$46,940	+$82,283
Growth % vs 2026	-30.1%	-24.5%	-9.0%	-7.9%	-4.5%		+3.6%	+9.5%	+16.6%
Downside (P10)							$428K	$421K	$410K
Upside (P90)							$607K	$661K	$736K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$428K to $607K

34.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$410K to $736K

56.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +16.6% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 41051004104, Portland on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).