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Portland, OR · ZIP 97217 · Census Tract 41051007201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$276K
Downside (P10)
$221K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$301K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$371K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $138K | $149K | $167K | $162K | $194K | $260K | $262K | $330K | $325K | $275K | $276K | $283K | $298K | $301K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$137,577 | -$126,577 | -$109,377 | -$114,377 | -$82,277 | -$16,177 | -$14,377 | +$53,823 | +$48,523 | -$577 | +$7,477 | +$22,204 | +$24,688 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.9% | -45.9% | -39.6% | -41.4% | -29.8% | -5.9% | -5.2% | +19.5% | +17.6% | -0.2% | +2.7% | +8.0% | +8.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $249K | $223K | $221K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $333K | $361K | $371K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$249K to $333K
29.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$221K to $371K
49.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | +7.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 008301) | $387K | $446K | +15.4% | |
| Portland (Tract 009001) | $394K | $453K | +15.0% | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | +11.0% | |
| Portland (Tract 008204) | $358K | $379K | +6.0% | |
| Portland (Tract 007700) | $363K | $384K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | +7.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 007700) | $363K | $384K | $206K | |
| Portland (Tract 008500) | $443K | $471K | $203K | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | $202K | |
| Portland (Tract 008100) | $421K | $484K | $201K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Portland, OR · ZIP 97217 · Census Tract 41051007201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$276K
Downside (P10)
$221K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$301K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$371K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $138K | $149K | $167K | $162K | $194K | $260K | $262K | $330K | $325K | $275K | $276K | $283K | $298K | $301K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$137,577 | -$126,577 | -$109,377 | -$114,377 | -$82,277 | -$16,177 | -$14,377 | +$53,823 | +$48,523 | -$577 | +$7,477 | +$22,204 | +$24,688 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.9% | -45.9% | -39.6% | -41.4% | -29.8% | -5.9% | -5.2% | +19.5% | +17.6% | -0.2% | +2.7% | +8.0% | +8.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $249K | $223K | $221K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $333K | $361K | $371K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$249K to $333K
29.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$221K to $371K
49.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | +7.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 008301) | $387K | $446K | +15.4% | |
| Portland (Tract 009001) | $394K | $453K | +15.0% | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | +11.0% | |
| Portland (Tract 008204) | $358K | $379K | +6.0% | |
| Portland (Tract 007700) | $363K | $384K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | +7.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 007700) | $363K | $384K | $206K | |
| Portland (Tract 008500) | $443K | $471K | $203K | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | $202K | |
| Portland (Tract 008100) | $421K | $484K | $201K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
