What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41057960102 in Nehalem · 97131 · (Tract 9601.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $449,690 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41057960102 in Nehalem · 97131 · (Tract 9601.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $449,690 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.2%.

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Parcel 41057960102 (Nehalem) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 41057960102, Nehalem · 97131 · (Tract 9601.2) Home Price Forecast

Tillamook, OR · ZIP 97131 · Census Tract 41057960102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$450K

Downside (P10)

$385K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$486K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$629K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$251K	$298K	$317K	$418K	$443K	$450K	$462K	$490K	$486K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$198,690	-$151,590	-$133,190	-$32,190	-$6,590		+$12,013	+$40,027	+$36,777
Growth % vs 2026	-44.2%	-33.7%	-29.6%	-7.2%	-1.5%		+2.7%	+8.9%	+8.2%
Downside (P10)							$404K	$393K	$385K
Upside (P90)							$548K	$601K	$629K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$404K to $548K

31.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$385K to $629K

50.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.2% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 41057960102, Nehalem · 97131 · (Tract 9601.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).