What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41059951202 in Hermiston-Umatilla · Hermiston · (Tract 9512.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $365,397 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41059951202 in Hermiston-Umatilla · Hermiston · (Tract 9512.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $365,397 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.0%.

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Parcel 41059951202 (Hermiston-Umatilla) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 41059951202, Hermiston-Umatilla · Hermiston · (Tract 9512.2) Home Price Forecast

Umatilla, OR · ZIP 97838 · Census Tract 41059951202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$365K

Downside (P10)

$313K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$395K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$501K

+37% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$233K	$238K	$312K	$337K	$362K	$365K	$367K	$378K	$395K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$132,697	-$127,297	-$53,497	-$28,897	-$2,997		+$1,149	+$12,859	+$29,266
Growth % vs 2026	-36.3%	-34.8%	-14.6%	-7.9%	-0.8%		+0.3%	+3.5%	+8.0%
Downside (P10)							$324K	$320K	$313K
Upside (P90)							$428K	$482K	$501K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$324K to $428K

28.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$313K to $501K

47.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.0% · Spread: 48%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 41059951202, Hermiston-Umatilla · Hermiston · (Tract 9512.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).