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Yamhill, OR · ZIP 97128 · Census Tract 41071030601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$360K
Downside (P10)
$302K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$378K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$507K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $150K | $163K | $173K | $177K | $193K | $251K | $258K | $261K | $280K | $352K | $360K | $363K | $373K | $378K |
| YoY Change | +8.7% | +5.8% | +2.7% | +8.6% | +30.3% | +2.9% | +0.9% | +7.5% | +25.8% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $302K | $304K | $302K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $426K | $468K | $507K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$302K to $426K
34.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$302K to $507K
54.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McMinnville · 97128 · (Tract 306.1) | $360K | $378K | +5.3% | |
| Newberg (Tract 030201) | $436K | $514K | +17.9% | |
| McMinnville | $371K | $416K | +12.4% | |
| Sheridan (Tract 030502) | $356K | $390K | +9.7% | |
| Newberg (Tract 030202) | $376K | $410K | +9.0% | |
| Sheridan (Tract 030501) | $424K | $414K | -2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McMinnville · 97128 · (Tract 306.1) | $360K | $378K | +5.3% | |
| Newberg (Tract 030102) | $540K | $652K | +20.8% | |
| Newberg (Tract 030302) | $779K | $934K | +19.9% | |
| Newberg (Tract 030201) | $436K | $514K | +17.9% | |
| Newberg (Tract 030304) | $453K | $528K | +16.6% | |
| Newberg (Tract 030303) | $512K | $586K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McMinnville · 97128 · (Tract 306.1) | $360K | $378K | $206K | |
| McMinnville (Tract 030703) | $477K | $520K | $233K | |
| Newberg | $376K | $410K | $228K | |
| Dayton-Amity | $439K | $459K | $190K | |
| Sheridan | $356K | $390K | $189K | |
| McMinnville (Tract 030702) | $371K | $416K | $154K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.