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Bucks, PA · ZIP 18902 · Census Tract 42017104506 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$964K
Downside (P10)
$795K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$970K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.34M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $608K | $626K | $634K | $653K | $656K | $685K | $700K | $836K | $882K | $915K | $964K | $977K | $975K | $970K |
| YoY Change | +2.9% | +1.2% | +3.0% | +0.6% | +4.4% | +2.2% | +19.4% | +5.5% | +3.7% | +5.4% | +1.4% | -0.2% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $846K | $835K | $795K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$846K to $1.15M
30.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$795K to $1.34M
56.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckingham | $942K | $970K | +2.9% | |
| Upper Makefield | $924K | $989K | +6.9% | |
| Solebury (Tract 104301) | $922K | $1.03M | +11.6% | |
| Lower Makefield | $904K | $973K | +7.6% | |
| Solebury (Tract 104304) | $879K | $931K | +5.8% | |
| Northampton | $863K | $907K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckingham | $942K | $970K | +2.9% | |
| Dublin | $403K | $485K | +20.4% | |
| Buckingham | $674K | $800K | +18.6% | |
| Bensalem | $472K | $556K | +17.8% | |
| Levittown | $320K | $374K | +16.9% | |
| Bristol | $307K | $355K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckingham | $942K | $970K | $545K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100600) | $280K | $303K | $145K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100700) | $249K | $271K | $149K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100403) | $266K | $288K | $149K | |
| Croydon | $282K | $289K | $157K | |
| Quakertown | $264K | $302K | $159K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.