Chester, PA · ZIP 19465 · Census Tract 42029301402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$445K
Downside (P10)
$397K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$486K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$634K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +43%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Chester markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $302K | $287K | $282K | $281K | $278K | $283K | $316K | $385K | $418K | $442K | $445K | $459K | $468K | $486K | $459K |
| YoY Change | -4.9% | -1.9% | -0.4% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +11.8% | +21.9% | +8.4% | +5.9% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +2.1% | +3.8% | -5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $401K | $401K | $397K | $406K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $556K | $584K | $634K | $516K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$401K to $556K
33.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$406K to $516K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Coventry · Pottstown · (Tract 3014.2) | $445K | $486K | +9.2% | |
| South Coventry | $445K | $483K | +8.5% | |
| East Goshen | $444K | $475K | +7.0% | |
| West Whiteland | $450K | $472K | +4.9% | |
| West Chester | $451K | $497K | +10.3% | |
| Chesterbrook | $452K | $496K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Coventry · Pottstown · (Tract 3014.2) | $445K | $486K | +9.2% | |
| New Garden | $462K | $556K | +20.4% | |
| Coatesville | $227K | $272K | +20.0% | |
| Easttown | $1.02M | $1.19M | +16.4% | |
| West Bradford | $583K | $678K | +16.4% | |
| East Bradford | $673K | $779K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Coventry · Pottstown · (Tract 3014.2) | $445K | $486K | $237K | |
| Coatesville | $124K | $131K | $77K | |
| Coatesville | $207K | $220K | $125K | |
| South Coatesville | $275K | $295K | $128K | |
| Coatesville | $227K | $272K | $132K | |
| East Goshen | $232K | $260K | $135K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.