Chester, PA · ZIP 19301 · Census Tract 42029300303 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$483K
Downside (P10)
$418K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$539K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$695K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +44%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Chester markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $305K | $310K | $336K | $327K | $326K | $338K | $376K | $434K | $458K | $475K | $483K | $501K | $548K | $539K | $496K |
| YoY Change | +1.9% | +8.2% | -2.8% | -0.3% | +3.7% | +11.3% | +15.5% | +5.4% | +3.9% | +1.7% | +3.6% | +9.5% | -1.7% | -8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $440K | $417K | $418K | $437K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $632K | $668K | $695K | $553K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$440K to $632K
38.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$437K to $553K
23.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paoli · 19301 · (Tract 3003.3) | $481K | $539K | +11.9% | |
| London Grove | $485K | $517K | +6.4% | |
| Schuylkill | $486K | $555K | +14.2% | |
| East Caln | $480K | $498K | +3.9% | |
| New London | $490K | $505K | +3.1% | |
| East Vincent | $492K | $553K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paoli · 19301 · (Tract 3003.3) | $481K | $539K | +11.9% | |
| New Garden | $462K | $556K | +20.4% | |
| Coatesville | $227K | $272K | +20.0% | |
| Easttown | $1.02M | $1.19M | +16.4% | |
| West Bradford | $583K | $678K | +16.4% | |
| East Bradford | $673K | $779K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paoli · 19301 · (Tract 3003.3) | $481K | $539K | $277K | |
| Coatesville | $124K | $131K | $77K | |
| Coatesville | $207K | $220K | $125K | |
| South Coatesville | $275K | $295K | $128K | |
| Coatesville | $227K | $272K | $132K | |
| East Goshen | $232K | $260K | $135K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.