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Chester, PA · ZIP 19382 · Census Tract 42029302902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$638K
Downside (P10)
$535K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$675K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$927K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $409K | $422K | $428K | $435K | $445K | $473K | $508K | $595K | $615K | $638K | $638K | $652K | $653K | $675K | $660K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$228,461 | -$215,661 | -$209,761 | -$202,561 | -$192,161 | -$164,161 | -$129,561 | -$42,861 | -$22,361 | +$39 | +$14,279 | +$15,249 | +$37,655 | +$22,531 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.8% | -33.8% | -32.9% | -31.8% | -30.1% | -25.7% | -20.3% | -6.7% | -3.5% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +2.4% | +5.9% | +3.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $569K | $554K | $535K | $581K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $762K | $799K | $927K | $753K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$569K to $762K
29.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$581K to $753K
26.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westtown | $644K | $675K | +4.9% | |
| West Marlborough area | $656K | $735K | +12.1% | |
| East Goshen (Tract 302802) | $640K | $693K | +8.2% | |
| Uwchlan | $644K | $688K | +6.8% | |
| East Goshen (Tract 302807) | $656K | $695K | +5.9% | |
| East Marlborough | $633K | $659K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westtown | $644K | $675K | +4.9% | |
| New Garden | $462K | $556K | +20.4% | |
| Coatesville | $227K | $272K | +20.0% | |
| Easttown | $1.02M | $1.19M | +16.4% | |
| West Bradford | $583K | $678K | +16.4% | |
| East Bradford | $673K | $779K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westtown | $644K | $675K | $392K | |
| East Goshen | $232K | $260K | $135K | |
| Coatesville (Tract 305400) | $227K | $272K | $132K | |
| South Coatesville | $275K | $295K | $128K | |
| Coatesville (Tract 305700) | $207K | $220K | $125K | |
| Coatesville (Tract 305500) | $124K | $131K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Chester, PA · ZIP 19382 · Census Tract 42029302902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$638K
Downside (P10)
$535K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$675K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$927K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $409K | $422K | $428K | $435K | $445K | $473K | $508K | $595K | $615K | $638K | $638K | $652K | $653K | $675K | $660K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$228,461 | -$215,661 | -$209,761 | -$202,561 | -$192,161 | -$164,161 | -$129,561 | -$42,861 | -$22,361 | +$39 | +$14,279 | +$15,249 | +$37,655 | +$22,531 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.8% | -33.8% | -32.9% | -31.8% | -30.1% | -25.7% | -20.3% | -6.7% | -3.5% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +2.4% | +5.9% | +3.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $569K | $554K | $535K | $581K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $762K | $799K | $927K | $753K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$569K to $762K
29.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$581K to $753K
26.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westtown | $644K | $675K | +4.9% | |
| West Marlborough area | $656K | $735K | +12.1% | |
| East Goshen (Tract 302802) | $640K | $693K | +8.2% | |
| Uwchlan | $644K | $688K | +6.8% | |
| East Goshen (Tract 302807) | $656K | $695K | +5.9% | |
| East Marlborough | $633K | $659K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westtown | $644K | $675K | +4.9% | |
| New Garden | $462K | $556K | +20.4% | |
| Coatesville | $227K | $272K | +20.0% | |
| Easttown | $1.02M | $1.19M | +16.4% | |
| West Bradford | $583K | $678K | +16.4% | |
| East Bradford | $673K | $779K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westtown | $644K | $675K | $392K | |
| East Goshen | $232K | $260K | $135K | |
| Coatesville (Tract 305400) | $227K | $272K | $132K | |
| South Coatesville | $275K | $295K | $128K | |
| Coatesville (Tract 305700) | $207K | $220K | $125K | |
| Coatesville (Tract 305500) | $124K | $131K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
