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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lancaster, PA · ZIP 17551 · Census Tract 42071013601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$306K
Downside (P10)
$268K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$343K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$407K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $306K | $313K | $324K | $343K |
| YoY Change | +2.3% | +3.5% | +5.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $265K | $267K | $268K | |
| Upside (P90) | $360K | $388K | $407K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$265K to $360K
30.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$268K to $407K
40.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Lebanon | $307K | $365K | +19.0% | |
| Bristol | $307K | $355K | +15.6% | |
| Warminster | $307K | $329K | +7.3% | |
| Bethel Park (Tract 475304) | $306K | $320K | +4.5% | |
| Bethel Park (Tract 475303) | $305K | $312K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | $212K | $277K | +30.3% | |
| Penn Forest | $319K | $389K | +21.9% | |
| Reading | $210K | $256K | +21.7% | |
| Logan | $163K | $199K | +21.5% | |
| Dublin | $403K | $485K | +20.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.