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Lehigh, PA · ZIP 18104 · Census Tract 42077006101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$415K
Downside (P10)
$361K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$454K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$641K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $220K | $224K | $230K | $237K | $235K | $259K | $281K | $317K | $376K | $401K | $415K | $429K | $430K | $454K | $418K |
| YoY Change | +2.0% | +2.5% | +3.4% | -1.0% | +10.3% | +8.3% | +12.9% | +18.7% | +6.7% | +3.4% | +3.4% | +0.3% | +5.6% | -8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $381K | $374K | $361K | $371K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $508K | $533K | $641K | $465K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$381K to $508K
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$371K to $465K
22.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Whitehall | $407K | $454K | +11.6% | |
| Upper Macungie | $419K | $464K | +10.7% | |
| North Whitehall | $421K | $464K | +10.4% | |
| Lower Macungie (Tract 006305) | $409K | $439K | +7.5% | |
| Lower Macungie (Tract 006310) | $407K | $428K | +5.2% | |
| Upper Milford | $418K | $420K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Whitehall | $407K | $454K | +11.6% | |
| Allentown | $168K | $197K | +17.2% | |
| Fullerton (Tract 005702) | $248K | $287K | +15.6% | |
| Fullerton (Tract 005704) | $285K | $329K | +15.5% | |
| Upper Saucon | $493K | $569K | +15.4% | |
| Bethlehem | $223K | $255K | +14.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Whitehall | $407K | $454K | $280K | |
| Allentown (Tract 000400) | $199K | $227K | $96K | |
| Hanover | $152K | $169K | $91K | |
| Allentown (Tract 001600) | $132K | $148K | $88K | |
| Allentown (Tract 001000) | $144K | $162K | $84K | |
| Allentown (Tract 000800) | $125K | $128K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.