What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42081010502 in Upper Fairfield area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $278,735 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42081010502 in Upper Fairfield area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $278,735 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.0%.

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Parcel 42081010502 (Upper Fairfield area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42081010502, Upper Fairfield area Home Price Forecast

Lycoming, PA · ZIP 17754 · Census Tract 42081010502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$279K

Downside (P10)

$240K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$304K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$408K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$210K	$220K	$233K	$254K	$264K	$279K	$286K	$298K	$304K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$69,235	-$59,035	-$46,235	-$25,235	-$14,835		+$7,024	+$19,512	+$24,969
Growth % vs 2026	-24.8%	-21.2%	-16.6%	-9.1%	-5.3%		+2.5%	+7.0%	+9.0%
Downside (P10)							$244K	$254K	$240K
Upside (P90)							$328K	$368K	$408K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$244K to $328K

29.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$240K to $408K

55.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.0% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 42081010502, Upper Fairfield area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).