Montgomery, PA · ZIP 19002 · Census Tract 42091201203 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$784K
Downside (P10)
$612K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$766K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$974K
+24% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +24%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Montgomery markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $491K | $496K | $480K | $496K | $566K | $553K | $562K | $725K | $773K | $779K | $784K | $799K | $802K | $766K |
| YoY Change | +1.1% | -3.2% | +3.4% | +14.0% | -2.3% | +1.6% | +29.0% | +6.5% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +0.4% | -4.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $617K | $600K | $612K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $878K | $925K | $974K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$617K to $878K
32.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$612K to $974K
47.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Gwynedd · Ambler · (Tract 2012.3) | $782K | $766K | -2.1% | |
| Lower Merion | $785K | $889K | +13.3% | |
| Narberth | $765K | $863K | +12.9% | |
| Horsham | $817K | $894K | +9.4% | |
| Merion Station | $851K | $902K | +6.0% | |
| Bala Cynwyd | $854K | $905K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Gwynedd · Ambler · (Tract 2012.3) | $782K | $766K | -2.1% | |
| Lower Merion | $903K | $1.09M | +20.7% | |
| Upper Merion | $660K | $796K | +20.6% | |
| Norristown | $229K | $272K | +18.7% | |
| East Norriton | $335K | $397K | +18.5% | |
| Wyncote | $470K | $555K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Gwynedd · Ambler · (Tract 2012.3) | $782K | $766K | $362K | |
| Pottstown | $127K | $136K | $56K | |
| Pottstown | $176K | $189K | $73K | |
| Pottstown | $212K | $227K | $83K | |
| Norristown | $162K | $180K | $91K | |
| Norristown | $179K | $184K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.