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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Philadelphia, PA · ZIP 19111 · Census Tract 42101033800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$253K
Downside (P10)
$216K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$268K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$357K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $178K | $174K | $179K | $173K | $188K | $202K | $217K | $237K | $246K | $248K | $253K | $260K | $260K | $268K |
| YoY Change | -2.5% | +3.0% | -3.2% | +8.1% | +7.6% | +7.3% | +9.6% | +3.6% | +0.8% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +0.0% | +3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $223K | $224K | $216K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $321K | $342K | $357K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$223K to $321K
37.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$216K to $357K
52.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox Chase · 19111 · (Tract 338) | $250K | $268K | +7.3% | |
| Northern Liberties | $251K | $288K | +14.9% | |
| Torresdale | $251K | $286K | +13.9% | |
| Fox Chase | $254K | $287K | +12.9% | |
| South Philadelphia | $253K | $276K | +9.4% | |
| Mount Airy | $250K | $267K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox Chase · 19111 · (Tract 338) | $250K | $268K | +7.3% | |
| West Germantown | $225K | $282K | +25.3% | |
| Center City | $374K | $452K | +21.0% | |
| Southwest | $122K | $147K | +20.0% | |
| Spring Garden | $801K | $958K | +19.6% | |
| Kingsessing | $333K | $396K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox Chase · 19111 · (Tract 338) | $250K | $268K | $141K | |
| Frankford | $80K | $83K | $42K | |
| Logan | $71K | $76K | $40K | |
| Port Richmond | $59K | $67K | $40K | |
| Strawberry Mansion (Tract 017300) | $68K | $74K | $35K | |
| Strawberry Mansion (Tract 016901) | $64K | $66K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.