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Philadelphia, PA · ZIP 19131 · Census Tract 42101011200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$150K
Downside (P10)
$125K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$160K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$213K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $69K | $72K | $72K | $72K | $76K | $88K | $91K | $120K | $121K | $147K | $150K | $154K | $160K | $160K |
| YoY Change | +4.0% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +5.2% | +16.8% | +3.3% | +31.3% | +1.3% | +21.0% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $129K | $128K | $125K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $188K | $198K | $213K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$129K to $188K
37.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$125K to $213K
54.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | $149K | $160K | +7.5% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 027402) | $151K | $180K | +18.8% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 017900) | $152K | $167K | +9.9% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 011000) | $148K | $162K | +9.0% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 007200) | $148K | $160K | +8.0% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 028800) | $151K | $158K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | $149K | $160K | +7.5% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 025200) | $225K | $282K | +25.3% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 000806) | $374K | $452K | +21.0% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 006700) | $122K | $147K | +20.0% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 036700) | $801K | $958K | +19.6% | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 007300) | $333K | $396K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | $149K | $160K | $88K | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 029300) | $80K | $83K | $42K | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 019900) | $71K | $76K | $40K | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 017701) | $59K | $67K | $40K | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 017300) | $68K | $74K | $35K | |
| Philadelphia (Tract 016901) | $64K | $66K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.