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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pittsburgh, PA · ZIP 15243 · Census Tract 42003473602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$296K
Downside (P10)
$221K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$289K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$391K
+32% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $211K | $214K | $211K | $214K | $217K | $222K | $240K | $285K | $285K | $290K | $296K | $297K | $292K | $289K |
| YoY Change | +1.0% | -1.2% | +1.7% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +8.3% | +18.7% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +2.2% | +0.3% | -1.9% | -0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $256K | $229K | $221K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $345K | $366K | $391K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$256K to $345K
30.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$221K to $391K
58.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Lebanon · Pittsburgh · (Tract 4736.2) | $295K | $289K | -1.9% | |
| Plum | $300K | $339K | +12.9% | |
| Moon | $297K | $325K | +9.5% | |
| Bethel Park (Tract 475402) | $298K | $322K | +8.2% | |
| McCandless | $297K | $308K | +3.5% | |
| Bethel Park (Tract 475200) | $294K | $293K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Lebanon · Pittsburgh · (Tract 4736.2) | $295K | $289K | -1.9% | |
| Pittsburgh (Tract 111500) | $212K | $277K | +30.3% | |
| Pittsburgh (Tract 080700) | $482K | $580K | +20.4% | |
| Ben Avon | $351K | $422K | +20.3% | |
| Pennsbury Village | $161K | $192K | +19.8% | |
| Clairton | $78K | $94K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Lebanon · Pittsburgh · (Tract 4736.2) | $295K | $289K | $170K | |
| Duquesne | $62K | $64K | $32K | |
| Pitcairn | $60K | $66K | $30K | |
| McKeesport | $59K | $66K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.