What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42115032401 in Ararat area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $241,902 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42115032401 in Ararat area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $241,902 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.4%.

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Parcel 42115032401 (Ararat area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42115032401, Ararat area Home Price Forecast

Susquehanna, PA · ZIP 18465 · Census Tract 42115032401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$242K

Downside (P10)

$228K

-6% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$262K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$328K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$175K	$170K	$208K	$215K	$235K	$242K	$248K	$257K	$262K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$67,102	-$72,202	-$33,502	-$26,802	-$7,102		+$6,260	+$15,294	+$20,404
Growth % vs 2026	-27.7%	-29.8%	-13.8%	-11.1%	-2.9%		+2.6%	+6.3%	+8.4%
Downside (P10)							$219K	$229K	$228K
Upside (P90)							$292K	$336K	$328K

Forecast Confidence

79%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$219K to $292K

29.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$228K to $328K

38.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.4% · Spread: 38%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 42115032401, Ararat area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).