What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42133020422 in Carroll?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $364,329 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42133020422 in Carroll?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $364,329 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.7%.

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Parcel 42133020422 (Carroll) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42133020422, Carroll Home Price Forecast

York, PA · ZIP 17019 · Census Tract 42133020422 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$364K

Downside (P10)

$336K

-8% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$411K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$524K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$258K	$270K	$308K	$326K	$362K	$364K	$378K	$385K	$411K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$106,829	-$93,929	-$56,729	-$38,429	-$2,529		+$13,409	+$21,041	+$46,435
Growth % vs 2026	-29.3%	-25.8%	-15.6%	-10.5%	-0.7%		+3.7%	+5.8%	+12.7%
Downside (P10)							$321K	$332K	$336K
Upside (P90)							$448K	$511K	$524K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$321K to $448K

33.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$336K to $524K

45.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.7% · Spread: 46%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 42133020422, Carroll on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).