County 72590, PR · Census Tract 72590005200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$767K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-60% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$647K
-16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+54% by 2030
Base case: -16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -60% to +54%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 72590 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $767K | $762K | $691K | $640K | $647K |
| YoY Change | -0.6% | -9.3% | -7.4% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $414K | $309K | $295K | $303K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$525K to $986K
60.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$303K to $1.18M
135.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005585 | $776K | $654K | -15.7% |
| Tract 005488 | $813K | $688K | -15.4% |
| Tract 005462 | $825K | $1.01M | +22.8% |
| Tract 005080 | $833K | $984K | +18.2% |
| Tract 005145 | $693K | $619K | -10.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005462 | $825K | $1.01M | +22.8% |
| Tract 005080 | $833K | $984K | +18.2% |
| Tract 005161 | $868K | $1.01M | +16.9% |
| Tract 005187 | $935K | $1.03M | +10.6% |
| Tract 000205 | $1.25M | $1.23M | -1.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000289 | $1.38M | $1.22M | $655K |
| Tract 005462 | $825K | $1.01M | $674K |
| Tract 000328 | $1.44M | $1.32M | $675K |
| Tract 005145 | $693K | $619K | $688K |
| Tract 005187 | $935K | $1.03M | $721K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources