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Kent, RI · ZIP 02893 · Census Tract 44003020200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$320K
Downside (P10)
$277K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$385K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$442K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $177K | $175K | $178K | $166K | $186K | $204K | $216K | $265K | $285K | $306K | $320K | $335K | $354K | $385K |
| YoY Change | -1.4% | +1.7% | -6.5% | +11.8% | +9.8% | +6.1% | +22.4% | +7.8% | +7.3% | +4.6% | +4.7% | +5.7% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $288K | $283K | $277K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $389K | $408K | $442K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$288K to $389K
30.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$277K to $442K
43.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Warwick | $310K | $385K | +24.4% | |
| Warwick (Tract 021100) | $316K | $319K | +1.0% | |
| West Warwick | $325K | $330K | +1.7% | |
| Warwick (Tract 021402) | $314K | $340K | +8.5% | |
| Warwick (Tract 021902) | $329K | $358K | +8.9% | |
| Warwick (Tract 021901) | $329K | $372K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Warwick | $310K | $385K | +24.4% | |
| Warwick (Tract 021800) | $353K | $411K | +16.4% | |
| East Greenwich | $711K | $818K | +15.0% | |
| Warwick (Tract 021600) | $498K | $572K | +14.9% | |
| Coventry (Tract 020604) | $337K | $386K | +14.5% | |
| Coventry (Tract 020603) | $339K | $387K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Warwick | $310K | $385K | $165K | |
| Coventry | $235K | $244K | $142K | |
| Warwick (Tract 021200) | $345K | $387K | $158K | |
| Warwick (Tract 021401) | $355K | $391K | $161K | |
| Warwick (Tract 021402) | $314K | $340K | $173K | |
| West Warwick | $325K | $330K | $173K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.