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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Providence, RI · ZIP 02904 · Census Tract 44007011902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$424K
Downside (P10)
$368K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$438K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$586K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $240K | $236K | $241K | $245K | $238K | $266K | $276K | $317K | $362K | $420K | $424K | $431K | $438K | $438K | $436K |
| YoY Change | -1.3% | +1.9% | +1.6% | -2.9% | +11.8% | +3.8% | +14.9% | +14.3% | +16.0% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +1.5% | -0.0% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $381K | $359K | $368K | $392K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $521K | $558K | $586K | $491K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$381K to $521K
32.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$392K to $491K
22.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Providence · Providence · (Tract 119.2) | $421K | $438K | +3.8% | |
| Foster | $433K | $506K | +16.8% | |
| Cranston | $413K | $464K | +12.4% | |
| Smithfield | $427K | $457K | +7.0% | |
| Valley Falls | $435K | $458K | +5.2% | |
| East Providence | $422K | $424K | +0.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Providence · Providence · (Tract 119.2) | $421K | $438K | +3.8% | |
| Providence (Tract 003100) | $533K | $630K | +18.2% | |
| East Providence | $344K | $405K | +17.8% | |
| Providence (Tract 002000) | $310K | $364K | +17.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 000600) | $252K | $296K | +17.5% | |
| Providence (Tract 001800) | $321K | $375K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Providence · Providence · (Tract 119.2) | $421K | $438K | $218K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018000) | $234K | $250K | $124K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018200) | $239K | $249K | $119K | |
| Providence (Tract 001700) | $248K | $269K | $119K | |
| Pawtucket | $243K | $250K | $116K | |
| Providence (Tract 002801) | $236K | $241K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.