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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Providence, RI · ZIP 02909 · Census Tract 44007001800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$321K
Downside (P10)
$254K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$375K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$487K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $144K | $149K | $155K | $160K | $177K | $180K | $233K | $265K | $274K | $313K | $321K | $329K | $367K | $375K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | +4.4% | +3.0% | +11.0% | +1.6% | +29.4% | +13.9% | +3.4% | +14.1% | +2.7% | +2.4% | +11.4% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $245K | $252K | $254K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $404K | $445K | $487K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$245K to $404K
48.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$254K to $487K
62.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence · 02909 · (Tract 18) | $321K | $375K | +16.9% | |
| Providence | $318K | $352K | +10.7% | |
| Pawtucket (Tract 016300) | $323K | $353K | +9.3% | |
| Pawtucket (Tract 015400) | $322K | $340K | +5.5% | |
| Pawtucket (Tract 015000) | $319K | $336K | +5.2% | |
| North Providence | $327K | $343K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence · 02909 · (Tract 18) | $321K | $375K | +16.9% | |
| Providence (Tract 003100) | $533K | $630K | +18.2% | |
| East Providence | $344K | $405K | +17.8% | |
| Providence (Tract 002000) | $310K | $364K | +17.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 000600) | $252K | $296K | +17.5% | |
| Foster | $433K | $506K | +16.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence · 02909 · (Tract 18) | $321K | $375K | $232K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018000) | $234K | $250K | $124K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018200) | $239K | $249K | $119K | |
| Providence (Tract 001700) | $248K | $269K | $119K | |
| Pawtucket | $243K | $250K | $116K | |
| Providence (Tract 002801) | $236K | $241K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.