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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Washington, RI · ZIP 02874 · Census Tract 44009050401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$621K
Downside (P10)
$504K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$670K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+66% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $375K | $378K | $397K | $396K | $402K | $451K | $471K | $528K | $582K | $600K | $621K | $646K | $670K | $670K |
| YoY Change | +0.9% | +5.1% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +12.1% | +4.4% | +12.2% | +10.3% | +3.0% | +3.5% | +4.0% | +3.7% | +0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $520K | $517K | $504K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $822K | $896K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$520K to $822K
46.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$504K to $1.03M
78.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Kingstown · Saunderstown · (Tract 504.1) | $618K | $670K | +8.4% | |
| South Kingstown (Tract 051304) | $632K | $710K | +12.3% | |
| Narragansett | $626K | $701K | +12.0% | |
| South Kingstown (Tract 051400) | $620K | $692K | +11.6% | |
| North Kingstown (Tract 050102) | $647K | $718K | +11.0% | |
| North Kingstown (Tract 050301) | $594K | $594K | +0.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Kingstown · Saunderstown · (Tract 504.1) | $618K | $670K | +8.4% | |
| Westerly | $518K | $584K | +12.7% | |
| Hopkinton | $448K | $504K | +12.6% | |
| Charlestown | $556K | $625K | +12.4% | |
| South Kingstown | $632K | $710K | +12.3% | |
| Narragansett | $626K | $701K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Kingstown · Saunderstown · (Tract 504.1) | $618K | $670K | $528K | |
| Westerly (Tract 050801) | $390K | $405K | $219K | |
| South Kingstown | $510K | $556K | $217K | |
| Westerly (Tract 050802) | $459K | $476K | $214K | |
| Hopkinton | $364K | $382K | $207K | |
| North Kingstown | $361K | $397K | $196K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.