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Aiken, SC · ZIP 29841 · Census Tract 45003020801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$267K
Downside (P10)
$226K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$277K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$340K
+28% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $169K | $165K | $170K | $186K | $174K | $203K | $244K | $254K | $263K | $267K | $269K | $278K | $277K |
| YoY Change | -1.9% | -2.5% | +3.2% | +9.2% | -6.3% | +16.6% | +20.1% | +4.4% | +3.4% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +3.2% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $241K | $231K | $226K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $311K | $322K | $340K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$241K to $311K
25.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$226K to $340K
41.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Augusta | $263K | $277K | +5.2% | |
| Aiken (Tract 021603) | $271K | $307K | +13.3% | |
| Aiken (Tract 020401) | $278K | $300K | +8.0% | |
| Aiken (Tract 021604) | $269K | $283K | +5.4% | |
| North Augusta (Tract 020601) | $249K | $259K | +4.0% | |
| North Augusta (Tract 020500) | $292K | $303K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Augusta | $263K | $277K | +5.2% | |
| New Ellenton | $311K | $379K | +21.7% | |
| Jackson | $177K | $211K | +19.4% | |
| Aiken | $160K | $191K | +19.1% | |
| Windsor | $136K | $158K | +16.1% | |
| Beech Island | $115K | $132K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Augusta | $263K | $277K | $115K | |
| Graniteville | $108K | $117K | $54K | |
| Aiken | $102K | $112K | $53K | |
| Salley | $115K | $118K | $53K | |
| North Augusta (Tract 021004) | $98K | $103K | $47K | |
| North Augusta (Tract 020702) | $118K | $127K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.