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Charleston, SC · ZIP 29458 · Census Tract 45019005002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$434K
Downside (P10)
$368K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$457K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$567K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $210K | $237K | $306K | $399K | $432K | $434K | $442K | $451K | $457K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$224,606 | -$197,306 | -$128,406 | -$35,706 | -$2,606 | +$7,862 | +$17,279 | +$22,576 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.7% | -45.4% | -29.6% | -8.2% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +4.0% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $387K | $390K | $368K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $539K | $565K | $567K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$387K to $539K
34.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$368K to $567K
43.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McClellanville | $436K | $457K | +4.7% | |
| James Island | $446K | $477K | +6.8% | |
| Charleston | $440K | $465K | +5.6% | |
| North Charleston | $434K | $458K | +5.6% | |
| West Ashley | $425K | $441K | +3.9% | |
| Ravenel-Hollywood | $426K | $442K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McClellanville | $436K | $457K | +4.7% | |
| North Charleston | $305K | $377K | +23.5% | |
| West Ashley (Tract 002611) | $348K | $426K | +22.4% | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 004609) | $641K | $768K | +19.8% | |
| West Ashley (Tract 005601) | $522K | $624K | +19.7% | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 004800) | $2.06M | $2.45M | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McClellanville | $436K | $457K | $199K | |
| North Charleston (Tract 003104) | $156K | $170K | $87K | |
| North Charleston (Tract 004000) | $121K | $136K | $68K | |
| North Charleston (Tract 003300) | $117K | $134K | $65K | |
| Ravenel-Hollywood | $125K | $138K | $61K | |
| North Charleston (Tract 005500) | $120K | $128K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Charleston, SC · ZIP 29458 · Census Tract 45019005002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$434K
Downside (P10)
$368K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$457K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$567K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $210K | $237K | $306K | $399K | $432K | $434K | $442K | $451K | $457K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$224,606 | -$197,306 | -$128,406 | -$35,706 | -$2,606 | +$7,862 | +$17,279 | +$22,576 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.7% | -45.4% | -29.6% | -8.2% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +4.0% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $387K | $390K | $368K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $539K | $565K | $567K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$387K to $539K
34.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$368K to $567K
43.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McClellanville | $436K | $457K | +4.7% | |
| James Island | $446K | $477K | +6.8% | |
| Charleston | $440K | $465K | +5.6% | |
| North Charleston | $434K | $458K | +5.6% | |
| West Ashley | $425K | $441K | +3.9% | |
| Ravenel-Hollywood | $426K | $442K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McClellanville | $436K | $457K | +4.7% | |
| North Charleston | $305K | $377K | +23.5% | |
| West Ashley (Tract 002611) | $348K | $426K | +22.4% | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 004609) | $641K | $768K | +19.8% | |
| West Ashley (Tract 005601) | $522K | $624K | +19.7% | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 004800) | $2.06M | $2.45M | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McClellanville | $436K | $457K | $199K | |
| North Charleston (Tract 003104) | $156K | $170K | $87K | |
| North Charleston (Tract 004000) | $121K | $136K | $68K | |
| North Charleston (Tract 003300) | $117K | $134K | $65K | |
| Ravenel-Hollywood | $125K | $138K | $61K | |
| North Charleston (Tract 005500) | $120K | $128K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
