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Florence, SC · ZIP 29505 · Census Tract 45041001601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$148K
Downside (P10)
$133K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$173K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$219K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $100K | $106K | $110K | $115K | $119K | $121K | $118K | $136K | $144K | $146K | $148K | $153K | $168K | $173K |
| YoY Change | +5.8% | +3.6% | +5.2% | +3.4% | +1.1% | -2.4% | +15.3% | +5.9% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +3.5% | +9.3% | +3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $137K | $133K | $133K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $194K | $201K | $219K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$137K to $194K
37.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$133K to $219K
49.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamplico | $147K | $173K | +18.0% | |
| Pamplico | $153K | $180K | +17.7% | |
| Lake City-Scranton (Tract 002202) | $156K | $169K | +8.2% | |
| Lake City-Scranton (Tract 002204) | $156K | $168K | +7.5% | |
| Florence (Tract 001000) | $147K | $155K | +5.8% | |
| Florence (Tract 000501) | $139K | $147K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamplico | $147K | $173K | +18.0% | |
| Pamplico (Tract 001700) | $153K | $180K | +17.7% | |
| Olanta | $107K | $123K | +15.0% | |
| Pamplico (Tract 001602) | $122K | $140K | +14.5% | |
| Florence (Tract 000800) | $96K | $107K | +11.6% | |
| Florence (Tract 001200) | $313K | $343K | +9.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamplico | $147K | $173K | $86K | |
| Olanta | $107K | $123K | $69K | |
| Pamplico | $97K | $100K | $59K | |
| Florence (Tract 000800) | $96K | $107K | $51K | |
| Coward | $110K | $120K | $51K | |
| Florence (Tract 000900) | $60K | $63K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.