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Horry, SC · ZIP 29582 · Census Tract 45051040400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$376K
Downside (P10)
$330K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$408K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$555K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $253K | $252K | $253K | $256K | $255K | $277K | $276K | $312K | $341K | $370K | $376K | $387K | $410K | $408K |
| YoY Change | -0.3% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -0.3% | +8.6% | -0.3% | +12.9% | +9.3% | +8.5% | +1.6% | +3.0% | +5.9% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $335K | $337K | $330K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $460K | $494K | $555K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$335K to $460K
32.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$330K to $555K
55.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little River · North Myrtle Beach · (Tract 404) | $379K | $408K | +7.7% | |
| Conway East (Tract 060310) | $359K | $391K | +8.9% | |
| Conway East (Tract 060404) | $368K | $391K | +6.4% | |
| Conway East (Tract 060309) | $394K | $407K | +3.2% | |
| Little River | $347K | $358K | +3.2% | |
| Myrtle Beach | $362K | $371K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little River · North Myrtle Beach · (Tract 404) | $379K | $408K | +7.7% | |
| Conway East | $223K | $258K | +15.9% | |
| Aynor | $128K | $147K | +15.1% | |
| Socastee | $188K | $216K | +15.1% | |
| Myrtle Beach | $275K | $314K | +14.2% | |
| Conway | $226K | $257K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little River · North Myrtle Beach · (Tract 404) | $379K | $408K | $225K | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 050901) | $141K | $159K | $89K | |
| Aynor | $128K | $147K | $83K | |
| Loris | $125K | $131K | $81K | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 050902) | $115K | $118K | $66K | |
| Floyds Crossroads | $98K | $107K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.