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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lexington, SC · ZIP 29172 · Census Tract 45063020605 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$193K
Downside (P10)
$166K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$198K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$275K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $115K | $121K | $114K | $119K | $123K | $126K | $135K | $168K | $169K | $188K | $193K | $195K | $198K | $198K |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | -6.1% | +4.7% | +2.9% | +3.2% | +6.4% | +25.0% | +0.4% | +11.1% | +3.0% | +0.8% | +1.6% | -0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $176K | $173K | $166K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $222K | $270K | $275K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$176K to $222K
23.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$166K to $275K
55.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Columbia-Cayce | $188K | $198K | +4.9% | |
| West Columbia-Cayce (Tract 020707) | $189K | $210K | +11.0% | |
| Gilbert | $193K | $213K | +10.4% | |
| West Columbia-Cayce (Tract 020602) | $198K | $215K | +8.6% | |
| Lexington | $190K | $206K | +8.1% | |
| West Columbia-Cayce (Tract 020703) | $191K | $195K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Columbia-Cayce | $188K | $198K | +4.9% | |
| White Knoll | $248K | $299K | +20.7% | |
| Lexington (Tract 021030) | $322K | $371K | +15.3% | |
| Batesburg-Leesville | $126K | $143K | +14.2% | |
| Lexington (Tract 021047) | $422K | $482K | +14.1% | |
| Seven Oaks | $259K | $295K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Columbia-Cayce | $188K | $198K | $109K | |
| Pelion (Tract 020911) | $129K | $142K | $63K | |
| Swansea (Tract 020807) | $110K | $123K | $63K | |
| Swansea (Tract 020806) | $97K | $102K | $60K | |
| Pelion (Tract 020910) | $102K | $111K | $56K | |
| Swansea (Tract 020804) | $76K | $86K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.