What is the home price forecast for Parcel 45083021805 in Southern Shops?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $128,176 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 45083021805 in Southern Shops?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $128,176 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.9%.

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Parcel 45083021805 (Southern Shops) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 45083021805, Southern Shops Home Price Forecast

Spartanburg, SC · ZIP 29303 · Census Tract 45083021805 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$128K

Downside (P10)

$110K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$136K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$187K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$98K	$100K	$101K	$114K	$126K	$128K	$129K	$133K	$136K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$30,676	-$27,976	-$26,776	-$14,376	-$1,776		+$1,013	+$4,676	+$7,563
Growth % vs 2026	-23.9%	-21.8%	-20.9%	-11.2%	-1.4%		+0.8%	+3.6%	+5.9%
Downside (P10)							$109K	$114K	$110K
Upside (P90)							$143K	$166K	$187K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$109K to $143K

26.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$110K to $187K

56.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.9% · Spread: 56%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 45083021805, Southern Shops on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).