What is the home price forecast for Parcel 45083023901 in Pacolet?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $227,083 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 45083023901 in Pacolet?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $227,083 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.1%.

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Parcel 45083023901 (Pacolet) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 45083023901, Pacolet Home Price Forecast

Spartanburg, SC · ZIP 29302 · Census Tract 45083023901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$227K

Downside (P10)

$183K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$250K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$304K

+34% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$171K	$181K	$194K	$213K	$222K	$227K	$233K	$248K	$250K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$55,883	-$45,983	-$33,283	-$13,783	-$5,383		+$5,506	+$20,524	+$22,960
Growth % vs 2026	-24.6%	-20.2%	-14.7%	-6.1%	-2.4%		+2.4%	+9.0%	+10.1%
Downside (P10)							$195K	$192K	$183K
Upside (P90)							$269K	$276K	$304K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$195K to $269K

31.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$183K to $304K

48.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.1% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 45083023901, Pacolet on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).