What is the home price forecast for Fort Mill?

Homecastr forecasts Fort Mill median home values at $445,699 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.4%.

How confident is the Fort Mill forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $387,844 (downside) to $643,355 (upside), with a spread of 51% of median.

Fort Mill Home Price Forecast

York, SC · ZIP 29708 · Census Tract 45091061011 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$446K

Downside (P10)

$388K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$501K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$643K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +44%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar York markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$264K	$266K	$353K	$402K	$420K	$446K	$461K	$474K	$501K
YoY Change		+0.9%	+32.4%	+13.9%	+4.5%	+6.1%	+3.5%	+2.8%	+5.7%
Downside (P10)							$400K	$385K	$388K
Upside (P90)							$594K	$609K	$643K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.

1-Year Spread

$400K to $594K

42.0% of median

5-Year Spread

$388K to $643K

51.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.4% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Fort Mill	$422K	$501K	+18.6%
Clover	$429K	$456K	+6.3%
Rock Hill	$422K	$437K	+3.5%
Rock Hill	$477K	$493K	+3.3%
Rock Hill	$414K	$445K	+7.6%
Fort Mill	$478K	$502K	+5.1%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Fort Mill	$422K	$501K	+18.6%
Rock Hill	$353K	$417K	+18.1%
Rock Hill	$201K	$237K	+17.9%
Clover	$359K	$420K	+16.8%
Fort Mill	$493K	$569K	+15.3%
Rock Hill	$361K	$415K	+15.0%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Fort Mill	$422K	$501K	$256K
Rock Hill	$171K	$171K	$92K
Rock Hill	$130K	$140K	$96K
York	$176K	$180K	$102K
Rock Hill	$211K	$224K	$103K
Rock Hill	$152K	$166K	$112K

Location

Fort Mill on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).