What is the home price forecast for Parcel 45091061504 in York · 29745 · (Tract 615.4)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $196,761 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 45091061504 in York · 29745 · (Tract 615.4)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $196,761 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.6%.

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Parcel 45091061504 (York) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 45091061504, York · 29745 · (Tract 615.4) Home Price Forecast

York, SC · ZIP 29745 · Census Tract 45091061504 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$197K

Downside (P10)

$167K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$220K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$289K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$150K	$145K	$154K	$172K	$197K	$197K	$202K	$209K	$220K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$46,361	-$51,361	-$42,361	-$24,361	+$139		+$5,108	+$12,245	+$22,882
Growth % vs 2026	-23.6%	-26.1%	-21.5%	-12.4%	+0.1%		+2.6%	+6.2%	+11.6%
Downside (P10)							$176K	$176K	$167K
Upside (P90)							$274K	$280K	$289K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$176K to $274K

48.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$167K to $289K

55.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.6% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 45091061504, York · 29745 · (Tract 615.4) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).