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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Brown, SD · ZIP 57401 · Census Tract 46013951600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$171K
Downside (P10)
$136K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$181K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$247K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $114K | $120K | $128K | $130K | $133K | $136K | $153K | $165K | $167K | $171K | $171K | $176K | $181K |
| YoY Change | -1.6% | +5.4% | +6.0% | +2.2% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +12.3% | +7.6% | +1.2% | +2.8% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $150K | $140K | $136K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $213K | $219K | $247K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$150K to $213K
36.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$136K to $247K
61.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | $171K | $181K | +6.0% | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | +10.8% | |
| Aberdeen | $147K | $162K | +10.0% | |
| Gem area | $224K | $242K | +8.3% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | +8.1% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951800) | $246K | $265K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | $171K | $181K | +6.0% | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | +10.8% | |
| Aberdeen | $147K | $162K | +10.0% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951400) | $250K | $274K | +9.5% | |
| Gem area | $224K | $242K | +8.3% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | +8.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | $171K | $181K | $110K | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951300) | $274K | $286K | $151K | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951800) | $246K | $265K | $140K | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | $122K | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | $106K | |
| Aberdeen | $147K | $162K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.