County 46068, SD · Census Tract 46068004921 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.00M
Downside (P10)
$997K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.34M
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.79M
+78% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +78%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 46068 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +10.0% | +5.7% | +8.5% | +5.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $957K | $948K | $985K | $997K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$925K to $1.14M
20.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$997K to $1.79M
59.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002583 | $1.00M | $1.40M | +39.5% |
| Tract 001461 | $1.01M | $1.35M | +32.9% |
| Tract 002800 | $992K | $1.32M | +32.7% |
| Tract 001665 | $984K | $1.50M | +52.9% |
| Tract 003003 | $980K | $1.47M | +49.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001665 | $984K | $1.50M | +52.9% |
| Tract 003003 | $980K | $1.47M | +49.6% |
| Tract 005069 | $815K | $1.16M | +42.1% |
| Tract 001746 | $934K | $1.32M | +41.8% |
| Tract 004507 | $1.10M | $1.53M | +39.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources