County 46068, SD · Census Tract 46068004989 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.05M
Downside (P10)
$1.02M
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.46M
+39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.97M
+88% by 2030
Base case: +39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +88%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 46068 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | +11.0% | +5.5% | +8.7% | +9.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $990K | $948K | $960K | $1.0M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$952K to $1.18M
21.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.02M to $1.97M
65.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001461 | $1.01M | $1.35M | +32.9% |
| Tract 004507 | $1.10M | $1.53M | +39.9% |
| Tract 004921 | $1.00M | $1.34M | +33.5% |
| Tract 002583 | $1.00M | $1.40M | +39.5% |
| Tract 002800 | $992K | $1.32M | +32.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001665 | $984K | $1.50M | +52.9% |
| Tract 003003 | $980K | $1.47M | +49.6% |
| Tract 005069 | $815K | $1.16M | +42.1% |
| Tract 001746 | $934K | $1.32M | +41.8% |
| Tract 004507 | $1.10M | $1.53M | +39.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources