County 46068, SD · Census Tract 46068005069 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$815K
Downside (P10)
$772K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.16M
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.59M
+95% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +95%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 46068 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $815K | $928K | $979K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +13.8% | +5.5% | +8.2% | +9.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $741K | $729K | $739K | $772K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$728K to $957K
28.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$772K to $1.59M
70.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002949 | $831K | $933K | +12.3% |
| Tract 001762 | $877K | $1.17M | +33.4% |
| Tract 001380 | $889K | $1.07M | +20.3% |
| Tract 002389 | $899K | $1.23M | +36.8% |
| Tract 000640 | $911K | $1.07M | +17.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001665 | $984K | $1.50M | +52.9% |
| Tract 003003 | $980K | $1.47M | +49.6% |
| Tract 001746 | $934K | $1.32M | +41.8% |
| Tract 004507 | $1.10M | $1.53M | +39.9% |
| Tract 002583 | $1.00M | $1.40M | +39.5% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources