County 46170, SD · Census Tract 46170160009 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$235K
Downside (P10)
$220K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$346K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$534K
+127% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +127%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 46170 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $235K | $275K | $296K | $314K | $346K |
| YoY Change | +16.6% | +7.7% | +6.3% | +10.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $215K | $213K | $204K | $220K | |
| Upside (P90) | $368K | $416K | $462K | $534K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$203K to $288K
35.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$220K to $534K
90.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320001 | $235K | $362K | +54.3% |
| Tract 720009 | $234K | $373K | +59.1% |
| Tract 360003 | $234K | $342K | +46.5% |
| Tract 920003 | $238K | $347K | +46.1% |
| Tract 840002 | $239K | $334K | +39.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720009 | $234K | $373K | +59.1% |
| Tract 320001 | $235K | $362K | +54.3% |
| Tract 440004 | $245K | $363K | +48.1% |
| Tract 360003 | $234K | $342K | +46.5% |
| Tract 920003 | $238K | $347K | +46.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920003 | $238K | $347K | $291K |
| Tract 360003 | $234K | $342K | $295K |
| Tract 840002 | $239K | $334K | $330K |
| Tract 440004 | $245K | $363K | $335K |
| Tract 720009 | $234K | $373K | $354K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources