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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 46372, SD · Census Tract 46372880006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$813K
Downside (P10)
$516K
-37% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$961K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.53M
+89% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -37% to +89%. The model forecasts this with 42% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $813K | $916K | $936K | $914K | $961K |
| YoY Change | +12.6% | +2.3% | -2.4% | +5.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $697K | $544K | $499K | $516K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$697K to $1.23M
58.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$516K to $1.53M
105.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880006 | $813K | $961K | +18.1% | |
| Tract 360005 | $362K | $443K | +22.4% | |
| Tract 560009 | $368K | $420K | +14.0% | |
| Tract 960104 | $1.15M | $1.24M | +7.6% | |
| Tract 200000 | $510K | $511K | +0.2% | |
| Tract 680002 | $939K | $914K | -2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880006 | $813K | $961K | +18.1% | |
| Tract 360005 | $362K | $443K | +22.4% | |
| Tract 440006 | $356K | $420K | +17.8% | |
| Tract 560009 | $368K | $420K | +14.0% | |
| Tract 960104 | $1.15M | $1.24M | +7.6% | |
| Tract 200000 | $510K | $511K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880006 | $813K | $961K | $1.02M | |
| Tract 680002 | $939K | $914K | $679K | |
| Tract 200000 | $510K | $511K | $595K | |
| Tract 560009 | $368K | $420K | $418K | |
| Tract 360005 | $362K | $443K | $380K | |
| Tract 440006 | $356K | $420K | $331K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources