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County 46573, SD · Census Tract 46573000180 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$270K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$385K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$585K
+116% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +116%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $270K | $322K | $335K | $346K | $385K |
| YoY Change | +19.2% | +3.9% | +3.4% | +11.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $246K | $236K | $252K | |
| Upside (P90) | $422K | $457K | $490K | $585K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$260K to $422K
50.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$252K to $585K
86.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000180 | $270K | $385K | +42.4% | |
| Tract 000261 | $271K | $393K | +45.3% | |
| Tract 002829 | $266K | $385K | +44.7% | |
| Tract 003145 | $259K | $369K | +42.6% | |
| Tract 004827 | $258K | $357K | +38.7% | |
| Tract 001545 | $270K | $373K | +38.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000180 | $270K | $385K | +42.4% | |
| Tract 001163 | $194K | $305K | +57.4% | |
| Tract 004102 | $191K | $298K | +56.2% | |
| Tract 003886 | $240K | $369K | +54.0% | |
| Tract 002324 | $157K | $235K | +50.3% | |
| Tract 004746 | $245K | $368K | +50.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000180 | $270K | $385K | $333K | |
| Tract 002285 | $188K | $275K | $223K | |
| Tract 001668 | $160K | $237K | $222K | |
| Tract 004461 | $164K | $228K | $208K | |
| Tract 001600 | $160K | $225K | $199K | |
| Tract 004487 | $170K | $225K | $192K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources