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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 46595, SD · Census Tract 46595001086 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$766K
Downside (P10)
$298K
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$617K
-19% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+43% by 2030
Base case: -19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 29% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $766K | $769K | $686K | $613K | $617K |
| YoY Change | +0.3% | -10.7% | -10.6% | +0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $505K | $430K | $314K | $298K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$505K to $1.07M
74.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$298K to $1.09M
128.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001086 | $766K | $617K | -19.4% | |
| Tract 000184 | $772K | $707K | -8.5% | |
| Tract 000126 | $756K | $650K | -14.0% | |
| Tract 000401 | $770K | $655K | -14.9% | |
| Tract 000744 | $759K | $620K | -18.2% | |
| Tract 001125 | $769K | $565K | -26.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001086 | $766K | $617K | -19.4% | |
| Tract 000841 | $787K | $751K | -4.6% | |
| Tract 000184 | $772K | $707K | -8.5% | |
| Tract 000126 | $756K | $650K | -14.0% | |
| Tract 000401 | $770K | $655K | -14.9% | |
| Tract 000744 | $759K | $620K | -18.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001086 | $766K | $617K | $794K | |
| Tract 000906 | $875K | $690K | $895K | |
| Tract 000744 | $759K | $620K | $867K | |
| Tract 001125 | $769K | $565K | $808K | |
| Tract 001044 | $749K | $610K | $799K | |
| Tract 000265 | $739K | $590K | $794K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources