County 46597, SD · Census Tract 46597000425 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$411K
Downside (P10)
$273K
-34% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$466K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$809K
+97% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -34% to +97%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 46597 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $411K | $459K | $456K | $438K | $466K |
| YoY Change | +11.9% | -0.8% | -3.9% | +6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $316K | $280K | $245K | $273K | |
| Upside (P90) | $625K | $701K | $724K | $809K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$334K to $538K
49.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$273K to $809K
115.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001534 | $418K | $480K | +14.9% |
| Tract 001453 | $427K | $499K | +17.1% |
| Tract 001097 | $427K | $453K | +5.9% |
| Tract 001398 | $428K | $471K | +10.0% |
| Tract 001314 | $432K | $486K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002083 | $494K | $878K | +77.8% |
| Tract 002287 | $471K | $829K | +75.9% |
| Tract 002326 | $506K | $872K | +72.2% |
| Tract 002342 | $486K | $835K | +72.0% |
| Tract 002643 | $497K | $845K | +70.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001437 | $432K | $502K | $486K |
| Tract 001097 | $427K | $453K | $491K |
| Tract 001534 | $418K | $480K | $516K |
| Tract 000467 | $440K | $458K | $519K |
| Tract 001398 | $428K | $471K | $555K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources