County 46597, SD · Census Tract 46597002122 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$477K
Downside (P10)
$372K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$801K
+68% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.78M
+273% by 2030
Base case: +68% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +273%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 46597 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $477K | $626K | $663K | $674K | $801K |
| YoY Change | +31.0% | +6.0% | +1.6% | +18.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $404K | $375K | $357K | $372K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$375K to $839K
97.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$372K to $1.78M
176.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001136 | $475K | $773K | +62.5% |
| Tract 002245 | $483K | $735K | +52.2% |
| Tract 002287 | $471K | $829K | +75.9% |
| Tract 002164 | $484K | $756K | +56.3% |
| Tract 002423 | $471K | $780K | +65.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002083 | $494K | $878K | +77.8% |
| Tract 002287 | $471K | $829K | +75.9% |
| Tract 002326 | $506K | $872K | +72.2% |
| Tract 002342 | $486K | $835K | +72.0% |
| Tract 002643 | $497K | $845K | +70.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001437 | $432K | $502K | $486K |
| Tract 001097 | $427K | $453K | $491K |
| Tract 001534 | $418K | $480K | $516K |
| Tract 000467 | $440K | $458K | $519K |
| Tract 000425 | $411K | $466K | $536K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources