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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 46622, SD · Census Tract 46622001564 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.77M
Downside (P10)
$771K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.24M
-30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.66M
-6% by 2030
Base case: -30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to -6%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | -3.0% | -13.1% | -12.7% | -4.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.2M | $953K | $807K | $771K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.17M to $2.00M
48.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$771K to $1.66M
71.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001564 | $1.77M | $1.24M | -29.6% | |
| Tract 600729 | $1.74M | $1.77M | +1.5% | |
| Tract 600509 | $1.75M | $1.74M | -0.3% | |
| Tract 100245 | $1.77M | $1.60M | -9.9% | |
| Tract 200284 | $1.74M | $1.47M | -16.0% | |
| Tract 000303 | $1.73M | $1.29M | -25.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001564 | $1.77M | $1.24M | -29.6% | |
| Tract 601883 | $125K | $237K | +88.8% | |
| Tract 601867 | $124K | $229K | +83.8% | |
| Tract 201542 | $115K | $171K | +49.5% | |
| Tract 201568 | $115K | $150K | +30.6% | |
| Tract 600224 | $1.37M | $1.47M | +7.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001564 | $1.77M | $1.24M | $892K | |
| Tract 200860 | $2.63M | $2.23M | $502K | |
| Tract 601867 | $124K | $229K | $239K | |
| Tract 601883 | $125K | $237K | $223K | |
| Tract 201542 | $115K | $171K | $166K | |
| Tract 201568 | $115K | $150K | $164K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources