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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 46622, SD · Census Tract 46622101749 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.69M
Downside (P10)
$1.70M
-37% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.21M
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.77M
+3% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -37% to +3%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.7M | $2.9M | $2.5M | $2.2M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | +6.8% | -13.2% | -10.7% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.4M | $2.0M | $1.8M | $1.7M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.2M | $2.9M | $2.7M | $2.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.42M to $3.22M
27.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.70M to $2.77M
48.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 101749 | $2.69M | $2.21M | -17.7% | |
| Tract 101503 | $2.58M | $2.19M | -14.9% | |
| Tract 200860 | $2.63M | $2.23M | -15.3% | |
| Tract 200462 | $2.59M | $2.19M | -15.4% | |
| Tract 101626 | $2.52M | $2.02M | -19.6% | |
| Tract 101781 | $2.53M | $2.03M | -20.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 101749 | $2.69M | $2.21M | -17.7% | |
| Tract 601883 | $125K | $237K | +88.8% | |
| Tract 601867 | $124K | $229K | +83.8% | |
| Tract 201542 | $115K | $171K | +49.5% | |
| Tract 201568 | $115K | $150K | +30.6% | |
| Tract 600224 | $1.37M | $1.47M | +7.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 101749 | $2.69M | $2.21M | $1.07M | |
| Tract 200860 | $2.63M | $2.23M | $502K | |
| Tract 601867 | $124K | $229K | $239K | |
| Tract 601883 | $125K | $237K | $223K | |
| Tract 201542 | $115K | $171K | $166K | |
| Tract 201568 | $115K | $150K | $164K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources