What is the home price forecast for Parcel 46099000701 in Sioux Falls?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $578,259 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 46099000701 in Sioux Falls?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $578,259 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.7%.

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Parcel 46099000701 (Sioux Falls) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 46099000701, Sioux Falls Home Price Forecast

Minnehaha, SD · ZIP 57104 · Census Tract 46099000701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$578K

Downside (P10)

$502K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$617K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$811K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$435K	$431K	$434K	$435K	$552K	$578K	$584K	$603K	$617K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$142,959	-$146,859	-$144,459	-$143,259	-$26,059		+$5,755	+$24,538	+$38,468
Growth % vs 2026	-24.7%	-25.4%	-25.0%	-24.8%	-4.5%		+1.0%	+4.2%	+6.7%
Downside (P10)							$519K	$509K	$502K
Upside (P90)							$689K	$769K	$811K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$519K to $689K

29.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$502K to $811K

50.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.7% · Spread: 50%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 46099000701, Sioux Falls on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).