County 47780, TN · Census Tract 47780002860 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$902K
Downside (P10)
$1.14M
+26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.59M
+76% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.17M
+140% by 2030
Base case: +76% by 2030, with a forecast range from +26% to +140%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 47780 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $902K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | +20.9% | +12.7% | +12.8% | +14.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $887K | $944K | $1.1M | $1.1M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.9M | $2.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$798K to $1.07M
30.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.14M to $2.17M
65.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 007289 | $896K | $1.23M | +37.5% |
| Tract 002763 | $918K | $1.35M | +46.8% |
| Tract 007182 | $886K | $1.13M | +28.0% |
| Tract 007386 | $881K | $1.10M | +25.3% |
| Tract 008848 | $877K | $1.22M | +39.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002909 | $941K | $1.58M | +68.3% |
| Tract 002608 | $1.17M | $1.93M | +64.2% |
| Tract 001340 | $1.27M | $2.03M | +59.2% |
| Tract 001489 | $1.27M | $2.02M | +59.2% |
| Tract 002640 | $1.26M | $1.97M | +57.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources