County 47790, TN · Census Tract 47790028164 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.55M
Downside (P10)
$1.76M
-61% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.89M
-36% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.62M
-20% by 2030
Base case: -36% by 2030, with a forecast range from -61% to -20%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 47790 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.5M | $4.1M | $3.5M | $3.0M | $2.9M |
| YoY Change | -8.7% | -16.4% | -13.8% | -3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.0M | $2.2M | $1.9M | $1.8M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.8M | $4.2M | $3.7M | $3.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.59M to $4.99M
30.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.76M to $3.62M
64.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 099407 | $4.54M | $2.67M | -41.2% |
| Tract 026522 | $4.57M | $2.96M | -35.2% |
| Tract 026302 | $4.58M | $2.98M | -35.0% |
| Tract 016901 | $4.47M | $2.97M | -33.5% |
| Tract 099423 | $4.69M | $2.73M | -41.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 130023 | $91K | $146K | +60.7% |
| Tract 024922 | $630K | $552K | -12.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources