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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 47821, TN · Census Tract 47821400004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.45M
Downside (P10)
$733K
-49% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.22M
-16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.69M
+16% by 2030
Base case: -16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -49% to +16%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | -1.6% | -9.9% | -6.3% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $867K | $762K | $733K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$1.02M to $1.80M
55.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$733K to $1.69M
78.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $1.45M | $1.22M | -16.0% | |
| Tract 560009 | $1.43M | $1.16M | -18.5% | |
| Tract 320003 | $1.46M | $1.16M | -20.4% | |
| Tract 280004 | $1.42M | $1.13M | -20.4% | |
| Tract 640000 | $1.42M | $1.07M | -24.6% | |
| Tract 760003 | $1.48M | $1.08M | -27.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $1.45M | $1.22M | -16.0% | |
| Tract 480008 | $1.16M | $1.01M | -12.9% | |
| Tract 000006 | $1.09M | $936K | -13.9% | |
| Tract 720001 | $1.15M | $981K | -14.6% | |
| Tract 560009 | $1.43M | $1.16M | -18.5% | |
| Tract 320003 | $1.46M | $1.16M | -20.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $1.45M | $1.22M | $955K | |
| Tract 760003 | $1.48M | $1.08M | $1.00M | |
| Tract 320003 | $1.46M | $1.16M | $986K | |
| Tract 000006 | $1.09M | $936K | $935K | |
| Tract 640000 | $1.42M | $1.07M | $920K | |
| Tract 040008 | $1.37M | $1.04M | $881K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources