What is the home price forecast for Parcel 47109930501 in 5 area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $218,966 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 47109930501 in 5 area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $218,966 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.0%.

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Parcel 47109930501 (5 area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 47109930501, 5 area Home Price Forecast

McNairy, TN · ZIP 38375 · Census Tract 47109930501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$219K

Downside (P10)

$182K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$226K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$287K

+31% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$120K	$131K	$177K	$187K	$215K	$219K	$218K	$224K	$226K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$98,866	-$88,466	-$41,566	-$31,966	-$3,866		-$487	+$4,565	+$6,590
Growth % vs 2026	-45.2%	-40.4%	-19.0%	-14.6%	-1.8%		-0.2%	+2.1%	+3.0%
Downside (P10)							$185K	$178K	$182K
Upside (P90)							$256K	$258K	$287K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$185K to $256K

32.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$182K to $287K

46.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.0% · Spread: 47%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 47109930501, 5 area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).