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Nashville, TN · ZIP 37209 · Census Tract 47037013400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$862K
Downside (P10)
$740K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$873K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.14M
+32% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $301K | $373K | $408K | $469K | $478K | $521K | $590K | $646K | $748K | $840K | $862K | $872K | $866K | $873K |
| YoY Change | +24.0% | +9.2% | +15.0% | +2.0% | +9.0% | +13.3% | +9.5% | +15.8% | +12.2% | +2.6% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $748K | $739K | $740K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $974K | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$748K to $974K
25.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$740K to $1.14M
45.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Nations · 37209 · (Tract 134) | $847K | $873K | +3.1% | |
| Germantown | $840K | $955K | +13.7% | |
| Berry Hill (Tract 017702) | $922K | $1.01M | +9.1% | |
| Berry Hill (Tract 017800) | $884K | $955K | +8.0% | |
| Belle Meade | $862K | $915K | +6.1% | |
| Music Row | $889K | $914K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Nations · 37209 · (Tract 134) | $847K | $873K | +3.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013702) | $544K | $659K | +21.1% | |
| Germantown | $441K | $520K | +17.8% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018803) | $545K | $634K | +16.4% | |
| Bellevue | $306K | $355K | +16.2% | |
| The Nations | $518K | $601K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Nations · 37209 · (Tract 134) | $847K | $873K | $398K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | $140K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | $125K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015615) | $226K | $262K | $107K | |
| North Nashville | $264K | $270K | $95K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010403) | $159K | $172K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.